Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.109592 0.121128 0.132923 0.145857 0.159616 0.173786 0.189458
2025-01-26 0.098253 0.116580 0.136180 0.158575 0.183332 0.209743 0.239930
2025-02-02 0.084491 0.106981 0.132020 0.161660 0.195492 0.232622 0.276168
2025-02-09 0.074526 0.100016 0.129412 0.165274 0.207301 0.254485 0.310952
2025-02-16 0.064621 0.091789 0.124197 0.164852 0.213650 0.269549 0.337628
2025-02-23 0.060621 0.090148 0.126331 0.172713 0.229401 0.295317 0.376634
2025-03-02 0.056618 0.087975 0.127388 0.178929 0.242963 0.318423 0.412572
2025-03-09 0.049329 0.080763 0.121463 0.175917 0.244828 0.327244 0.431353
2025-03-16 0.042490 0.073481 0.114855 0.171496 0.244487 0.333041 0.446235
2025-03-23 0.040115 0.072196 0.115977 0.176885 0.256364 0.353735 0.479196
2025-03-30 0.037256 0.069933 0.115556 0.180081 0.265350 0.370836 0.507832
2025-04-06 0.035318 0.068848 0.116619 0.185158 0.276720 0.390933 0.540254
2025-04-13 0.032054 0.065650 0.114781 0.186563 0.283765 0.406262 0.567730
2025-04-20 0.032095 0.067696 0.120563 0.198617 0.305134 0.440149 0.618936
2025-04-27 0.029456 0.065172 0.119533 0.201135 0.313850 0.458012 0.650268
2025-05-04 0.027397 0.063405 0.119478 0.204927 0.324247 0.478080 0.684522
2025-05-11 0.024464 0.059835 0.116455 0.204298 0.328527 0.490181 0.708684
2025-05-18 0.024011 0.060606 0.120101 0.213320 0.346072 0.519684 0.755262
2025-05-25 0.023180 0.060595 0.122469 0.220462 0.361061 0.545926 0.797813
2025-06-01 0.020250 0.056333 0.117810 0.216986 0.361103 0.552317 0.814664
2025-06-08 0.017327 0.051709 0.112252 0.211887 0.358640 0.555215 0.826871
2025-06-15 0.016682 0.051614 0.114154 0.218097 0.372211 0.579604 0.867211
2025-06-22 0.015651 0.050600 0.114434 0.221777 0.382176 0.599197 0.901381